INDIA, G 20 AND THE WORLD
Introduction
Second
World War was definitive in redistribution of the world power. Authority of
United States of America was established and after a prolonged cold war with
the other waning super power, USSR, the power slowly shifted towards the
western democracies led by US. Japan was quick to recover too and through its
technological innovations & business practices soon became a formidable
force despite its relatively smaller area, population and insignificant
military prowess. Economic might had become the new centre of gravity and
formations like G6, a club of the rich, involving US, Japan France, Germany,
Italy and UK emerged in 1975.
Origin of G-20
After
the second world war, free from occupation and external aggression countries
like India and China, initially stayed aloof addressing their own domestic
concerns, building their nations. It took some time for these countries to
integrate themselves in the world economy. Meanwhile they continued to grow
rapidly in terms of population, a factor that they could later leverage when
they would start to open up. Slowly even with relatively lower per capita GDP
but a big enough population and favourable age structure their overall impact
in world economy could no longer be ignored.
In
the meantime, Developed countries were at their peak. The way in which business
would be done was changing world over. Spurred by the information technology
(IT) revolution, trade liberalization and other economic reforms, the entry of
an estimated 2 billion people into the labor force as a result of the breakdown
of the Soviet bloc and the opening of China, and the freer movement of capital
and technology from developed countries to developing countries, the size of
the global economy doubled over the decade preceding the 2008-2009 global
financial crisis, increasing from $31 trillion in 1999 to $62 trillion in 2008.
With the globalization of production, the phenomenon of ‘factory asia’
(production flowing away to countries with cheaper labour) became more evident.
While the growth reached practically every region of the world and encompassed
dozens of developing countries, a handful of large developing countries—led by
China, India, and Brazil—accounted for a major share of the global growth.
Other emerging economies with large populations, such as Indonesia, Mexico,
Russia, Turkey, and Vietnam, also grew at a rapid pace. China, in fact, was
fast becoming a leading driver of the world economy. Larger size had economic
repercussions in terms of both market and labour force. The balance of
international economic power was shifting away from the United States and European
powers that had dominated the world economy since the end of World War II to a
few dozen developing countries located in Asia, Latin America, and the Middle
East.
The
long-standing distinction between advanced and developing countries,
particularly for rising economic powers, was blurring. The advanced countries
were still the richest countries in terms of per capita income, but their
economies were no longer the largest, the fastest-growing, or the most dynamic.
Rising economic powers were exerting greater influence in global trade and
financial policies and in the multilateral institutions that have underpinned
the global economy since World War II.
In
view of the above, metamorphosis of smaller elite group like G-6 was
inevitable. However, the Group underwent some intermediate stages of expansion
before the evolution of G-20 which would eventually include 19 countries
namely, Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, France, Germany, India,
Indonesia, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, the
Republic of Korea, Turkey, the United Kingdom, the United States of America and
the European Union, which is represented by the rotating Council Presidency and
the European Central Bank as the 20th member. The first addition to G-6 was Canada,
just after a year of the first summit in 1975 and the group became G-7. With
Russia’s addition in 1997, the Summit became known as G-8. G-13, the G-8 plus
the outreach five ( Brazil, India, China, Mexico & south Africa ) was
another categorization, smaller in size than the G-20 which was created in
1999, in the wake of the financial crisis in Asia, as an informal forum for the
finance ministers and central bank governors of economies considered
‘systemically significant’ by the G-7.
The
newcomers in the G20 were selected using implicit rather than explicit
criteria. Consequently, the resulting membership did not include the twenty
largest economies by any measure but it did include a combination of some of
the largest and fastest growing developing countries (notably China and India),
as well as some countries which were hardly ‘systemically significant’
(Argentina & Australia).
Role
of emerging economies like India in G-20 & Regional Cooperations – Pre
Global Crisis (2008)
For
the first decade, from 1999 to 2008, the G20 forum attracted little public
attention. Countries like Brazil, China and India were becoming more engaged
both with the mature economies and the developing world. The rise of the major
emerging countries over the past decade had coincided with their push into the
world’s richest markets in the US and Europe, and at the same time, their
construction of new ties of goods, money, people and ideas among themselves,
their regions, and with other developing countries. In brief, they were increasingly
integrating into the global economic system. China, Brazil and India each
directed diplomatic support and some resources to new projects of regional
institution building in their neighbourhoods. The three rising states had also
gone beyond their own regions to promote “South South cooperation”. Finally,
Russia, India and China garnered world attention when Brazil joined them in
June 2009 at the inaugural “BRIC” Summit (in Yekaterinburg, Russia).Prior to
the global crisis, the rising powers put concerted attention into building
interconnectivity within the developing world, fostering new institutionalized
ties of goods exchange, capital, people and ideas. They directed resources at
creating a parallel set of institutions that operate largely according to their
own sets of rules and currencies of power.
Beijing,
Brasilia, and Delhi aimed to build new institutions that were autonomous from
Northern control. China helped in developing the Shanghai Cooperation
Organization and various institutional innovations around the ASEAN states,
together with Japan and South Korea. Brazil promoted new cooperation in South
America via renewed support to Mercusor; its proposal for a Union of South
American Nations (UNASUR), started in 2007, “born out of a novel commitment on
the part of member states to forge effective mechanisms to deal with the
multiple challenges that should unite, but often divide— the region” ; and
arguably foremost, through the operations of its national development bank,
BNDES. Delhi supported the development of the SAARC, other new multilateral
initiatives in the region such as “BIMST-EC” (Bangladesh, India, Myanmar, Sri
Lanka, Thailand— Economic Cooperation).
The
self-insurance strategies of the rising powers prior to the "Global
financial crisis were aimed not simply at “decoupling” them from the global
economy but rather to facilitate managed integration. Prior to the crisis, the
major emerging economies were heavily reliant on the developed markets of the
US and Europe. By playing both sides, they were benefitting from the system in
two ways, simultaneously. For the decade prior to the global crisis, they kept
a low profile or minimized their engagement in the Bretton Woods Institutions,
did not bear significant costs in maintaining the global architecture, and
could channel their resources instead to fostering hedging options.
Growth
in significance of G-20& increased engagement of economies like India,
China – Post Global Economic Crisis
In
the wake of the global financial crisis of 2008 the G20 was elevated to a
Leaders Forum in an effort that was termed as ‘fellowship of the lifeboat’
engendered by the global crisis and the urgency of launching a coordinated
policy response In a short period of time the G20 moved from relative obscurity
to centre stage in media coverage of global economic governance. With their
limited formal voting power, and the long tradition of US–European dominance of
the IMF, it was not surprising that the dynamic emerging market economies
preferred the G20 as the premier forum for deliberations. The global crisis
also challenged the sustainability of the Southern-only networking and
autonomous institution building efforts. The crisis revealed that the rising
powers were either unwilling or unable to play the role of alternative global
lender-of-last-resort. Moreover, although China, India and Brazil all went into
the global crisis in a better position than many, these countries nevertheless
felt the impact of what grew into a global economic crisis. With the onset of the
crisis, these countries shifted their diplomatic positions, and became more
active in advocating for reforms in global architecture, via the G20 Leaders
process, as well as at UN and other global meetings.
Achievements
and Concerns: Several landmark reforms of International Financial Institutions
were initiated at the behest of the G20 which heightened the expectation for
bringing about fundamental changes in the functioning of the global
institutions and in the global governance structure. Select mid-level emerging
countries have been encouraging the major emerging countries to work within
theG20 process, to gradually reshape the system of global economic governance
from the inside. The goal of these states is advancing a reform “from the
inside” agenda, of moving the world from a US/G7-centered system to one in
which the emerging countries have more say in reform proposals, such as the
proposal of reform in the lending norms of the international financial institutions
floated by Indonesia, advocacy for, and implementing, institutional changes
that further broaden the number of states that are actually consulted in global
summitry, taken up by South Korea and South Africa etc. India as a member of
the G20 has been actively engaged in Global Economic Governance and in shaping
the World Order.
